Who is the smart money on “Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?”?

Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $225k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$225k
Liquidity
$35k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

10 wallets · 21,067 known shares

e46m3whale
entry — · all-time +$958k · win 61%
Luceryswhale
entry — · all-time +$348k · win 59%
kaxel78whale
entry — · all-time +$118k · win 31%
zerone777whale
entry — · all-time +$127k · win 30%
anothercoinsharp
entry — · all-time +$4.3k · win 38%
JordanMooney

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $225k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?”?: Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

live

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes21k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$143k	$159k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$39k	$40k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 24% · November 19 20% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 20%	$33k	$25k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 57% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0%	$25k	$196k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 56% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 0%	$19k	$277k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 23% · 750B–1T 4%	$17k	$46k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes 19% · No 81%	$14k	$29k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes 25% · No 76%	$14k	$16k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
0x2d899c	Yes	18k	0¢	$18	−$149.16
e46m3	Yes	17k			$958k
StrangeFriends	Yes	13k	0¢	$12.66	−$25.62
balthazar	Yes	12k			$1.2M
freedomjijin	Yes	10k	0¢	$10.40	$223.96
qwen300.fund	Yes	6k			$618k
0xbf8abb	Yes	5k	0¢	$4	$19.67
0xcfc1ff	Yes	5k	0¢	$5	−$21.06
0xd32ce8	Yes	4k			$121k
0xb2e4…b7f1	Yes	4k			$64k
0xa5ef39	No	184k			$0
FlashTradeOracleTester	No	47	100¢	$46.81	−$2k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$3k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$2k
6Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$1k
7Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1k
8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?$1k
9Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$1k
10Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$1k