No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $12.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 63% · Fenerbahçe SK 18% | $777k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $722k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $651k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ryunose | No | $128k |
| momom | No | $32k |
| brian992 | No | $4k |
| zZQ8xU4Btx | No | $3k |
| ElectricSamurai | No | $3k |
| Rtrtrtrt | No | $3k |
| SUPPGGG | No | $2k |
| xcnstrategy | No | $2k |
| Equivocal | No | $2k |
| kiwi202202 | No | $2k |
| cyberrrrrr | No | $2k |
| MotherTheresa | Yes | $1k |
3,180 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $207k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $73k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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