Yes 86% · No 14%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 74¢). Volume $32k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $896k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% · Mike Rogers (R) 31% | $789k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $639k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 71% · Republican Party 28% | $531k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $498k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 756 |
| baybug | Yes | 715 |
| James-Talarico | Yes | 300 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 265 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 194 |
| spaceloaf | Yes | 150 |
| ChiangWan-an | Yes | 135 |
| stupid22 | Yes | 125 |
| YangYuxiang | Yes | 121 |
| frog-love | Yes | 112 |
| ACara | No | 943 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 548 |
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