Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $225k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
laseptimalavencida took +$889 on Yes from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.2k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 36% · No release by November 30 9% · November 13 1% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| laseptimalavencida | Yes | $888.70 |
| 0xb121… | Yes | $472.60 |
| 0xf245… | Yes | $400.72 |
| cr0di3 | No | $102.67 |
| c4vdl4g | Yes | $52.87 |
| 3445567 | Yes | $48.06 |
| xiaoqi1987 | Yes | $47.05 |
| narua | Yes | $41.63 |
| akmalid | Yes | $39.74 |
| ppap | No | $31.68 |
| nathas | Yes | $29.89 |
| third-eye | Yes | $29.81 |
167 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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