No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $142k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xE17D took +$616 on No from 88¢; the biggest loser gave up $344.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 75% · Anthropic 23% · OpenAI 3% | $38k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 65% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 21% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 37% · November 11 23% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xE17D | No | $616.13 |
| pineapplespear | No | $292.32 |
| Drpxl | No | $243.97 |
| ChiliSalt | No | $218.19 |
| Xwesome | No | $214.64 |
| P4wnSt4rr | No | $200.95 |
| p0laris | No | $199.05 |
| NoTeacher | No | $164.98 |
| rudabega | No | $150 |
| 0x46a1… | No | $143.53 |
| TRADER420 | No | $134.00 |
| Quarzo | No | $130.10 |
397 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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