No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $9.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 420-439 23% · 400-419 20% · 440-459 17% | $292k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 50% · 115-139 35% · 140-164 10% | $205k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 380-399 13% · 360-379 12% · 400-419 11% | $124k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 25% · No Bond chosen 14% | $56k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 17% · 40-64 7% · <40 2% | $10k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 13% · 340-359 12% · 280-299 7% | $8k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 23% · 43m+ 11% | $6k |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0120346 | No | $1k |
| 0x955c… | No | $400 |
| C.PM | No | $51.50 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | No | $22.17 |
| enderone | No | $17.19 |
| pad6 | No | $8.70 |
| boofa | No | $8.50 |
| luciebot | No | $5.95 |
| SulkingCrypto | No | $5.44 |
| lpgb | No | $4.40 |
| haveagoodday | No | $4.40 |
| before2027 | Yes | $2.66 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 18 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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