Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $689k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Popopolly took +$4.1k on Yes from 93¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.0k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 37% · $1.5–$1.75T 26% · $1.75–$2.0T 16% | $201k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $64k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $63k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $49k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88% · Anthropic 11% | $46k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $29k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $25k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Popopolly | Yes | $4k |
| hulinali | No | $1k |
| poweragain | Yes | $973.28 |
| SZ-TIC-M2 | Yes | $850.40 |
| WizhardofOddz | Yes | $666.15 |
| mikiikkahhvdud | Yes | $654.35 |
| slippopz | Yes | $561.89 |
| VibeyQuant | Yes | $531.26 |
| Jdhd38483 | Yes | $467.31 |
| wwf123 | Yes | $428.71 |
| aiwar | Yes | $424.97 |
| CryptoFortunate | Yes | $414.50 |
901 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $16k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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