Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 78¢) and lost. Volume $32k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 7% | $6.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 6% | $3.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 27% | $2.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.7M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 39% | $548k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rigatohni | Yes | $3k |
| mrworldwide | Yes | $2k |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | $2k |
| 0xSuperRekt | Yes | $509.09 |
| sleepymonkey | Yes | $322.29 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | $314.83 |
| shiifoo | Yes | $250.16 |
| G.Hchen | Yes | $121.05 |
| Trenchstar | Yes | $63.74 |
| KickstandBot | Yes | $58.10 |
| 0xc24f… | Yes | $34.35 |
| CR0AKER | Yes | $33.52 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 31 biggest winners took $8.3k; the 48 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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