No won. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 63% · November 2–November 8 16% · November 16–November 22 13% | $23k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $21k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 55% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $11k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 21% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 28% · November 11 21% · November 9 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shangqian | No | $6.03 |
| noreasapa | No | $4.95 |
| sleepymonkey | No | $4.70 |
| Mysaria | No | $2.16 |
| haveagoodday | No | $1.22 |
| 0x82e1… | No | $1.02 |
| Ezioauditore0 | No | $0.90 |
| merod | No | $0.87 |
| fourcoin15m | No | $0.77 |
| 0x63b7… | No | $0.72 |
| liikujyfh | No | $0.50 |
| Wojtek | Yes | −$5.41 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $24; the 6 biggest losers gave up $13. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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