No won. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 2% | $30k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 63% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shangqian | No | $7.38 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | $3.80 |
| Mysaria | No | $3.57 |
| sleepymonkey | No | $3 |
| 0x2faa… | No | $1.08 |
| haveagoodday | No | $0.90 |
| 0xe025… | No | $0.72 |
| glebsamoilov | No | $0.69 |
| fourcoin15m | No | $0.60 |
| Wojtek | Yes | −$9.95 |
| Teshomije | Yes | −$3 |
| smith-dom | Yes | −$3 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $22; the 6 biggest losers gave up $21. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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