Who is the smart money on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Trump · live

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Trump markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Presidential Election Winner 2028	Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1%	$85k	$961k
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes 31% · No 70%	$79k	$25k
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$61k	$399k
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$56k	$353k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$32k	$181k
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes 20% · No 81%	$26k	$69k
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?	China 85% · No meeting by December 31 13% · United States 2%	$22k	$267k
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes 19% · No 81%	$11k	$36k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Trump

→ all categories · none in Trump right now

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$244k
2Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$137k
3Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$61k
42026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$52k
5Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$50k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$48k
7Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$47k
8Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$42k
9Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A$32k
10Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$31k

More Trump markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Trump · live

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

live

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Trump markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Presidential Election Winner 2028	Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1%	$85k	$961k
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?	Yes 31% · No 70%	$79k	$25k
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$61k	$399k
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$56k	$353k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$32k	$181k
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes 20% · No 81%	$26k	$69k
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?	China 85% · No meeting by December 31 13% · United States 2%	$22k	$267k
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes 19% · No 81%	$11k	$36k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Trump

→ all categories · none in Trump right now

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$244k
2Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$137k
3Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$61k
42026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$52k
5Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$50k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$48k
7Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$47k
8Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$42k
9Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A$32k
10Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$31k

More Trump markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.