Who won the most on “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?”?

Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · resolved

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?

No won. Volume $3.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
No
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$3.2k
Closed
Nov 1, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 188 known shares

haveagoodday
entry 100¢ · all-time +$23k · win 46%

Nowon

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

Who won “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?” on Polymarket?: No won; it closed Nov 1, 2026, on $3.2k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?

live

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31? · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

No · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Yes188100%

Top Markets wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$85k	$218k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$30k	$33k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 26% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 18% · November 19 18%	$29k	$26k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 48%	$24k	$143k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$93k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$13k	$58k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$13k	$53k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$80k

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
10Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?$404.29