No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $2.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
guh56 took +$43 on No from 37¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.5k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next CEO of NVIDIA? | Rene Haas 24% · Ian Buck 18% · Colette Kress 11% | $713k |
| Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $213k |
| Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $157k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 45% · <$1.25T 25% · $1.5–$1.75T 17% | $132k |
| Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? | Yes 30% · No 71% | $37k |
| New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $28k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $19k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| guh56 | No | $42.65 |
| CamelUp | No | $38.06 |
| 0xec9f… | No | $7.64 |
| annont | No | $4.16 |
| mygod345678 | No | $3.39 |
| simplystupid188 | No | $2.60 |
| 0x4d02… | No | $0.95 |
| CamelUp | Yes | −$1k |
| simplystupid188 | Yes | −$34.60 |
| annont | Yes | −$5.36 |
| toomanyfent | Yes | −$5.00 |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder | No | −$0.60 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $99; the 5 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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