No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $77k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Dutchland took +$9 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $4.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Gavin Newsom 11% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Marco Rubio 10% | $887k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $657k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · Ron DeSantis 15% · Thomas Massie 3% | $622k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68% · Puma Shen 33% | $186k |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 85% · Chris Hipkins 11% | $74k |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $20k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Dutchland | No | $9.06 |
| Beat-Investing | No | $2.08 |
| assumendarerumen | Yes | $1.63 |
| solder | No | $0.65 |
| quiddy | No | $0.62 |
| 0xb2cd… | Yes | −$4.27 |
| JustBot | Yes | −$2.35 |
| aegisterra | No | −$1.19 |
| BESTASKV3 | Yes | −$1.12 |
| FishFmQD | Yes | −$1.07 |
| Zig619 | Yes | −$1.04 |
| 0x0086… | Yes | −$1.00 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $14; the 12 biggest losers gave up $16. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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