Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $2.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
819 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $158k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $100k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $652k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $614k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $553k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $461k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7401… | Yes | $32k |
| defillama7 | Yes | $14k |
| Nulo2122 | Yes | $10k |
| dromedaryy | Yes | $10k |
| JokerTheClown | Yes | $7k |
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | Yes | $6k |
| almosthere | Yes | $6k |
| gm-gg-gn | Yes | $6k |
| seal7 | Yes | $6k |
| 0x7621… | Yes | $6k |
| Randomfool | Yes | $4k |
| 0x04fb… | Yes | $4k |