No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $36k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 35% · 380-399 24% · 420-439 18% | $345k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 360-379 14% · 340-359 13% · 380-399 12% | $133k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 98% · 115-139 2% · 215-239 0% | $129k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 29% · No Bond chosen 13% | $46k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $38k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 20% · 40-64 8% · 165-189 6% | $33k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $10k |
| "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office | 105m+ 70% · <65m 1% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| PiMaak | No | $1k |
| 0x5095… | No | $946.39 |
| haveagoodday | No | $637.75 |
| fanat12 | No | $528.67 |
| Cess | No | $360.63 |
| coinflip123 | Yes | $289.85 |
| merod | No | $231 |
| shovelingdigging | No | $167.52 |
| JordanMooney | No | $145.47 |
| 0x7272… | No | $136.22 |
| Sid999 | No | $117.40 |
| Mrpike | Yes | $72.81 |
136 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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