Yes won. Volume $30k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $51k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Anthropic 25% · OpenAI 3% | $37k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 64% · November 16–November 22 15% · November 23–November 29 4% | $27k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 37% · November 11 29% · No release by November 30 10% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 67% · No 33% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 44% · November 16–November 22 20% · November 9–November 15 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Yes | $571.92 |
| 0x652b… | Yes | $241.37 |
| sgx1 | Yes | $26.04 |
| 418Imateapot | Yes | $18.87 |
| Computerdude111 | Yes | $18.09 |
| NoTeacher | Yes | $15.96 |
| 2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4 | Yes | $15 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | $13.98 |
| MatrixBreaker-HR48 | Yes | $10.57 |
| leadernew | Yes | $10.27 |
| dayjobu | Yes | $8.99 |
| JokerTheClown | Yes | $8.70 |
71 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 30 biggest losers gave up $172. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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