No 83% · Yes 17%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢). Volume $12k, liquidity $2.4k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 71% · No 30% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lamyk | Yes | 822 |
| balthazar | Yes | 772 |
| SingletonFamilyFund | Yes | 300 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 194 |
| navber | Yes | 75 |
| romanew-1-new | Yes | 71 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 45 |
| PPMT | Yes | 40 |
| 0x08788f | Yes | 40 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | 34 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| lissartter | No | 182 |
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