What are the odds for “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 94% · Yes 7%, on $2.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?

No 94% · Yes 7%. Volume $2.8k, liquidity $2.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
94%
Yes
7%
Volume
$2.8k
Liquidity
$2.3k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 43 known shares

e46m3whale
entry — · all-time +$863k · win 61%
0x462996
entry — · all-time −$10k · win 67%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 94% · Yes 7%, on $2.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?

live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

93.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes43100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$66k	$868k	-0.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$58k	$405k	0%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 36% · OpenAI 6%	$40k	$221k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$30k	$33k
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes 89% · No 12%	$27k	$112k	0%
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1?	11°C 94% · 12°C 6% · 13°C 0%	$22k	$3k
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$18k	$45k	-0.1%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes 33% · No 68%	$17k	$30k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6¢ask 7¢spread 1¢mid 6.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4356¢

7¢414

7345¢

8¢653

4124¢

9¢339

173¢

12¢20

2201¢

17¢8

20¢120

38¢220

48¢125

49¢150

50¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
balthazar	Yes	935	$1.2M
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	437	$193k
Numitus1994	Yes	142	−$36k
Brokeguy451	Yes	132	−$968.99
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	55	−$339k
LornaPredicts	Yes	40	$15k
e46m3	Yes	23	$863k
0x462996	Yes	20	−$10k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	16	−$99k
rocky42014	Yes	15	$7k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0
PPMT	No	41	$18k

Smart-money conviction · Other

→ all categories · none in Other right now

Smart-money conviction

1Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-01?$150k
2Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$135k
3Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs$35k
4Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs$35k
5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$30k
6Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs$25k
7Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30k
8Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
9Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$41k
10US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k