No won. Volume $3.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 69% · November 2–November 8 13% · November 16–November 22 12% | $25k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $23k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 55% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 33% · November 11 22% · November 9 5% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 68% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 8% | $9k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $8k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $6k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8391… | No | $1.66 |
| 0x4626… | No | $0.84 |
| C.PM | No | $0.60 |
| navber | Yes | −$25.21 |
| Martinus- | Yes | −$15.24 |
| sanduspace | Yes | −$0.65 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $3; the 3 biggest losers gave up $41. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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