Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $4.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $637; the 8 biggest losers gave up $265. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 22% · $1.5–$1.75T 16% | $148k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $33k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 24% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 20% · November 19 19% | $33k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0% | $25k |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | NVIDIA 55% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 0% | $19k |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 23% · 750B–1T 4% | $17k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? | Yes 21% · No 80% | $13k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | Yes | $383.92 |
| jeev | Yes | $156.67 |
| capib | Yes | $48.06 |
| 13lur02 | Yes | $18 |
| 0x6dae… | Yes | $14.84 |
| motorko | Yes | $11.69 |
| 0xe8d0… | Yes | $2 |
| motorko | No | $0.80 |
| 0x28a6… | Yes | $0.72 |
| Nikoliora | No | −$156.13 |
| bibimbot | No | −$62.85 |
| GekkeHenkie23 | No | −$28 |