No won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 100¢) and won. Volume $25k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 30–December 6 7% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 66% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 24% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SmartBoyBilly | No | $89.23 |
| 6regsdf | Yes | $76.95 |
| NoTeacher | No | $76.20 |
| shangqian | No | $53.85 |
| pinner | No | $45.88 |
| 0xa277… | No | $23.86 |
| cybermaxs | No | $22.64 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | $22.37 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $20.79 |
| Mysaria | No | $19.59 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $13.45 |
| chaosj88 | Yes | $11.27 |
54 wallets held a position at the close. The 32 biggest winners took $542; the 22 biggest losers gave up $411. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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