No won. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
aussietoken took +$10 on No from 84¢; the biggest loser gave up $56.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 65% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aussietoken | No | $10.27 |
| Pre-rich-dude | No | $9.74 |
| autocurate | Yes | $8.71 |
| Olcan | No | $4.60 |
| TroSSmaNN | Yes | −$56.36 |
| Adcade | Yes | −$24.16 |
| ittailup | Yes | −$22.02 |
| migogallar | Yes | −$10.00 |
| romanew-crypto | Yes | −$3.50 |
| 0x52b7… | Yes | −$3.00 |
| donglai66 | Yes | −$2.95 |
| Mogger7 | Yes | −$2.10 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $33; the 21 biggest losers gave up $139. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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