Yes 51% · No 49%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 31¢). Volume $696k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 77% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 3% | $35k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 81% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 9% · 2 2% | $14k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 43% · November 11 24% | $7k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 35% · No release by November 30 15% | $7k |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $7k |
| Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November? | Moonshot 35% · Alibaba 24% · Z.ai 20% | $6k |
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