No 90% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢). Volume $3.6k, liquidity $367. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $30k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $27k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $18k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 48% · November 16–November 22 19% · November 9–November 15 15% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 17% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 592 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 55 |
| deilos | Yes | 36 |
| 0xa169f8 | Yes | 26 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 21 |
| 0x1e0a…b015 | Yes | 17 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 15 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 7 |
| balthazar | Yes | 7 |
| Seeking-Alpha01 | No | 304 |
| Stonktrader | No | 234 |
| 0x4025…3644 | No | 100 |
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