No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $557. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
CamelUp took +$18 on No from 94¢; the biggest loser gave up $18.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $102k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $57k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $49k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $33k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $22k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 74% | $15k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $14k |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | No | $18.13 |
| s1rhot | No | $7.07 |
| Semingur | No | $6.60 |
| firatto | No | $2.10 |
| integraltrader | No | $1.70 |
| 196874353278 | No | $0.92 |
| 0x53cd… | No | $0.65 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | −$18.00 |
| superstonksbro | Yes | −$11.41 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | −$1.35 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $37; the 3 biggest losers gave up $31. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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