No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
4 ranked wallets bought Yes at 51¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 4 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $248k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $223k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $139k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $90k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $76k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 66% | $56k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $56k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $56k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc649…2425 | Yes | 6k |
| toxiev3 | Yes | 6k |
| Shmuela | Yes | 5k |
| houseru | Yes | 4k |
| 0x4122…9251 | Yes | 3k |
| JimJax | Yes | 3k |
| 0xddf4…2680 | Yes | 3k |
| 0x3e59…b2be | Yes | 2k |
| 0x0486…3df2 | Yes | 2k |
| WhatTheHelly | Yes | 2k |
| FailureMagnet | No | 100 |
| 0x14e769 | No | 43 |
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