Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
10 ranked wallets bought No at 60¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 10 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $248k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $228k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $139k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $90k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $76k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 66% | $56k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $56k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $56k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| spodkaposk | Yes | 0 |
| 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | 0 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 0 |
| MrStealUrBet | Yes | 0 |
| i-race | Yes | 0 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 0 |
| yangguang0511 | No | 5k |
| kamarat | No | 350 |
| 0x6b26…cf9a | No | 299 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| Occidentaliste | No | 200 |
| 0x84fd…2f81 | No | 181 |
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