Yes 56% · No 44%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). Volume $120, liquidity $253. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $273k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $229k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 90% · No 11% | $216k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 77% | $207k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $187k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $166k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon332 | Yes | 40 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20 |
| 0x95fd…7e04 | Yes | 14 |
| 0x28a665 | Yes | 6 |
| geowatch | No | 50 |
| Blueynbingo | No | 25 |
| 0x48c3…0701 | No | 5 |
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