Yes 98% · No 2%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢). Volume $18k, liquidity $8.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
19 ranked wallets bought No at 35¢. It’s 2¢ now — −95% on paper.
Track all 19 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $284k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $167k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $137k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $105k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cigarettes | Yes | 1k |
| edge999 | Yes | 969 |
| vinii | Yes | 963 |
| JosephIsGreat | Yes | 372 |
| StupidMonkeyyy | Yes | 237 |
| iHaveBeenPwned | Yes | 204 |
| Car | Yes | 201 |
| koninginhetuniverse | Yes | 187 |
| copvin | Yes | 109 |
| nedsta | Yes | 104 |
| ELICHOU | No | 625 |
| Marco-Rubio | No | 522 |
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