Who is the smart money on “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?”?

Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 89¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

No 89% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 89¢). Volume $128k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
89%
Yes
11%
Volume
$128k
Liquidity
$17k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 209 known shares

0x9bbd…6e72
entry 37¢ · P&L $40k · win 52%

No

4 wallets · 997 known shares

muddyrc
entry 88¢ · P&L $25k · win 50%
peterfromfamilyguy
entry 90¢ · P&L $49k · win 59%
0x275c…6090
entry — · P&L $1.5k · win 88%
M2sx92kljs42whale
entry — · P&L $63k · win 72%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 89% · Yes 11%, on $128k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?”?: Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 89¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

live

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Dece… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

11%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 47% · Gadi Eizenkot 35% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.7M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$279k	$174k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$145k	$88k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 90% · No 11%	$141k	$61k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$125k	$162k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$123k	$48k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$78k	$306k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction