No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Volume $145k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $806k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $235k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $197k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $196k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $194k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $177k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 3% | $168k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 4k |
| paddaa | Yes | 2k |
| 0xe101…06e7 | Yes | 2k |
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 1k |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 1k |
| rocky42024 | Yes | 737 |
| nryy | Yes | 731 |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| hp210210 | Yes | 600 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 409 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| Goopster | No | 22 |
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