No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢). Volume $239k, liquidity $34k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $535k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $263k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $189k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $185k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $140k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 5k |
| Simyi | Yes | 3k |
| rocky42024 | Yes | 1k |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 1k |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 1k |
| nryy | Yes | 731 |
| balthazar | Yes | 701 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 477 |
| liq2 | Yes | 463 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 413 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| Margeret | No | 50 |
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