Who is the smart money on “Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

No 74% · Yes 27%. Volume $208, liquidity $240. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
74%
Yes
27%
Volume
$208
Liquidity
$240

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

73.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes 92% · No 8%	$73k	$111k	1.5%
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes 78% · No 23%	$11k	$38k	8%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$10k	$25k	-0.5%
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?	Yes 57% · No 43%	$10k	$30k	2.5%
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$8k	$38k	-0.1%
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes 40% · No 61%	$7k	$28k	7%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$6k	$24k	0.1%
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026	46.0 to 48.9 50% · 43.0 to 45.9 33%	$6k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 2¢ask 51¢spread 49¢mid 26.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

122¢

51¢113

1271¢

52¢199

62¢30

63¢31

80¢45

81¢20

87¢8

88¢50

89¢30

91¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	188	$173k
Numitus1994	Yes	20	−$37k
0xa5ef39	No	208	$0

Smart-money conviction · Other

→ all categories · none in Other right now

Smart-money conviction

12026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$241k
2Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$157k
32026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$180k
4Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$77k
5US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$72k
6Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5$51k
7Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)$51k
8Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$42k
9Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$58k
10Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$32k

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?” on Polymarket?: No 74% · Yes 27%, on $208 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Other · Other · live

Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

No 74% · Yes 27%. Volume $208, liquidity $240. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
74%
Yes
27%
Volume
$208
Liquidity
$240

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

live

Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

73.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes 92% · No 8%	$73k	$111k	1.5%
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes 78% · No 23%	$11k	$38k	8%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$10k	$25k	-0.5%
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?	Yes 57% · No 43%	$10k	$30k	2.5%
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$8k	$38k	-0.1%
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes 40% · No 61%	$7k	$28k	7%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$6k	$24k	0.1%
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026	46.0 to 48.9 50% · 43.0 to 45.9 33%	$6k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 2¢ask 51¢spread 49¢mid 26.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

122¢

51¢113

1271¢

52¢199

62¢30

63¢31

80¢45

81¢20

87¢8

88¢50

89¢30

91¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	188	$173k
Numitus1994	Yes	20	−$37k
0xa5ef39	No	208	$0

Smart-money conviction · Other

→ all categories · none in Other right now

Smart-money conviction

12026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$241k
2Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$157k
32026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$180k
4Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$77k
5US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$72k
6Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5$51k
7Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)$51k
8Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$42k
9Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$58k
10Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$32k

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?” on Polymarket?: No 74% · Yes 27%, on $208 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.