No 93% · Yes 7%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 88¢). Volume $3.2k, liquidity $973. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $231k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $141k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $135k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $119k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 19% | $117k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lavincey | Yes | 180 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 164 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | 55 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 46 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 33 |
| pinner | Yes | 33 |
| 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 22 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| PadreMaronno | No | 240 |
| DiaMat | No | 204 |
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