Who is the smart money on “Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 90% · Yes 10%. Volume $14k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
90%
Yes
10%
Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$14k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 261 known shares

Zachattack500
entry 8¢ · all-time −$1.9k · win 64%
yoyoyo543
entry 16¢ · all-time +$5.3k · win 54%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 90% · Yes 10%, on $14k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

live

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

90.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes261100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 14% · IA 11%	$6.9M	$49.5M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$2.7M	$15.8M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%	$1.8M	$911k
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5% · D Senate, R House 1%	$1.7M	$13.4M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 75% · Independent 26%	$773k	$412k
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$563k	$6.4M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 17% · Christine Lagarde 5%	$467k	$341k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28%	$391k	$2.6M

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 8.4¢ask 11¢spread 2.5¢mid 9.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

138.4¢

11¢37

608.3¢

11¢224

858.2¢

11¢20

1688.1¢

11¢20

3818¢

11¢20

207.9¢

12¢241

997.8¢

12¢459

4137.7¢

12¢728

2207.6¢

12¢476

807.5¢

12¢146

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
maritime6307	Yes	661	11¢	$74.40	$2k
no-edge	Yes	501	14¢	$83.94	$2k
0xdfd2…dedf	Yes	358	21¢	$75.00	−$60.21
2B9S	Yes	169			$95k
thecaricature	Yes	166			−$6k
Zachattack500	Yes	161	8¢	$18.96	−$2k
yoyoyo543	Yes	100	16¢	$16	$5k
polymonkey	Yes	98	20¢	$20.00	−$225.46
LornaPredicts	Yes	80			$15k
0x39c9ae	Yes	69	27¢	$18.50	−$208.03
Retired-Davis	No	1k	88¢	$719.20	−$41k
Belgaron	No	555	88¢	$274.94	−$68k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$145k
2Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$66k
3Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
4Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$22k
5Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20k
6Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18k
72026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$20k
8Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23k
9Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$14k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k