No 83% · Yes 17%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $4.0k, liquidity $773. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $29k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $20k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 61% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 17% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 372 |
| JokerBot | Yes | 215 |
| ronaldk | Yes | 87 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 74 |
| bullbull88 | Yes | 20 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 17 |
| boempie | Yes | 10 |
| luciebot | Yes | 5 |
| congmqian-gendan | Yes | 5 |
| plytest2 | Yes | 5 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 599 |
| aviato | No | 111 |
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