No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $160k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
inventive took +$789 on No from 70¢; the biggest loser gave up $52.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 31% · $1.5–$1.75T 27% · $1.75–$2.0T 16% | $186k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $74k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88% · Anthropic 11% | $53k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $51k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 in November? | Yes 68% · No 33% | $37k |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $30k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $27k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| inventive | No | $788.76 |
| 0xPredictor1 | No | $287.70 |
| oblivious | No | $124.37 |
| 165198989 | No | $94.59 |
| 0xb6c7… | No | $64.84 |
| nobody666 | No | $45.80 |
| brnngyn | Yes | $38.75 |
| Bikesarethebest | No | $38.62 |
| alertpilot123 | No | $35.80 |
| saejygfjysae | No | $32.51 |
| qifengle-dev | No | $32.23 |
| jeygfvjeaswf | No | $31.42 |
357 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $821. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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