No won. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
AIB took +$19 on No from 94¢; the biggest loser gave up $52.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 75% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $43k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 50% · November 11 22% · November 9 8% | $23k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $22k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $17k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $12k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 80% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 2–November 8 4% | $11k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 65% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $11k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AIB | No | $19.24 |
| 324g55 | No | $19.15 |
| 0x75d1… | No | $13.20 |
| hithitfar | No | $10.19 |
| 0x1cc3… | No | $4.07 |
| sd3ewfe | No | $3.60 |
| hunggin | No | $1.48 |
| Aq4ExePrd22Jn | No | $1.38 |
| pmaker | Yes | $0.90 |
| IrthBirth | No | $0.75 |
| deliaszara42646 | No | $0.55 |
| xcaiox | No | $0.50 |
29 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $75; the 17 biggest losers gave up $126. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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