No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $625. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
1 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $1; the 0 biggest losers gave up $0. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Nobody on this side.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $58k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2% | $35k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10% | $22k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $14k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $7k |
| Best Chinese AI Company end of November? | Xiaomi 47% · Alibaba 34% · Moonshot 12% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| merod | No | $1.07 |