No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $330k, liquidity $60k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $306k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 82% | $269k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $230k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $205k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $196k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $188k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $107k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 20k |
| 0x009c94 | Yes | 8k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| planktonXD | Yes | 5k |
| treadshuffle | Yes | 3k |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 2k |
| Trtr2026 | Yes | 2k |
| balthazar | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| 69dsfs | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 59k |
| 0x78b339 | No | 4 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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