No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $2.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 67% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 2–November 8 11% · November 16–November 22 9% | $22k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $11k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 30% · November 11 18% · November 13 7% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 80% · November 16–November 22 11% · November 9–November 15 4% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mysaria | No | $4.44 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $1.47 |
| 0x21ef… | No | $1.44 |
| 0x82e1… | No | $0.56 |
| 0x652b… | Yes | −$2.92 |
| imagineall | Yes | −$2.08 |
| 0xa9db… | Yes | −$1 |
| telaviv | Yes | −$0.64 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | −$0.53 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $8; the 5 biggest losers gave up $7. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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