No won. Smart money backed Yes (16 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $837k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xc5ae… took +$7 on Yes from 0¢; the biggest loser gave up $27.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 75% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $42k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $22k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 47% · November 11 22% · November 9 7% | $22k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $17k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $12k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 29% · OpenAI 4% | $11k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 80% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 2–November 8 4% | $10k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc5ae… | Yes | $7.13 |
| JordanMooney | No | $2.18 |
| hnlvbvsi | No | $1.82 |
| i18z | No | $1.51 |
| win-at-all-cost | No | $1.15 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $0.93 |
| ImHunterEye | Yes | $0.83 |
| RidelFishing | No | $0.83 |
| nashyy43 | No | $0.83 |
| nuhn | Yes | $0.76 |
| actRange | No | $0.71 |
| influenz.eth | No | $0.60 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $20; the 60 biggest losers gave up $273. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Tech & Science's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.