No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $196k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x652b… took +$5 on Yes from 0¢; the biggest loser gave up $71.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x652b… | Yes | $5.08 |
| Mysaria | No | $1.65 |
| hvan | No | $1.62 |
| merod | No | $0.67 |
| 0x1fd0… | No | $0.64 |
| quantgamer | Yes | −$70.75 |
| rewardbots | Yes | −$19.47 |
| Oxtave | Yes | −$10 |
| 0x768f… | Yes | −$10 |
| 0x5c06… | Yes | −$10 |
| F0ulplay | Yes | −$8.47 |
| 0x2999… | Yes | −$5.00 |
22 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $10; the 17 biggest losers gave up $152. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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