Who is the smart money on “Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?

No 100% · Yes 1%. Volume $1.0k, liquidity $685. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
1%
Volume
$1.0k
Liquidity
$685

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 471 known shares

X10X10X10
entry 0¢ · all-time +$46k · win 50%
SpringlyFawl
entry — · all-time +$30k · win 41%
lpgbwhale
entry — · all-time +$244k · win 40%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 1%, on $1.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?

live

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of Nov… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes471100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$53k	$593k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$36k	$63k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 23–November 29 9%	$23k	$14k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9%	$14k	$11k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$13k	$17k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$10k	$13k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$10k	$10k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 61% · No 39%	$8k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 0.8¢spread 0.6¢mid 0.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1320.2¢

0.8¢56

9810.1¢

1¢12

25¢125

25¢20

48¢100

48¢20

59¢20

59¢483

90¢400

90¢13

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
X10X10X10	Yes	433	0¢	$0.32	$46k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	393			$193k
youtube-trader	Yes	51			−$5k
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	30			$13k
balthazar	Yes	30			$1.2M
BOOST250	Yes	28	1¢	$0.28	−$2k
SpringlyFawl	Yes	23			$30k
e46m3	Yes	21			$863k
Numitus1994	Yes	20			−$36k
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.	Yes	18			$4k
0xa5ef39	No	1k			$0

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$2k
3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
4Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$696.03
5Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$506.89
7Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
8Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
9Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$173
10Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96