Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $29k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 45% · 360-379 37% · 400-419 14% | $321k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 13% · 320-339 12% · 300-319 11% | $222k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 29% · 40-64 23% · 90-114 16% | $84k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 65% · Jack Lowden 14% · No Bond chosen 10% | $56k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $36k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | 28m-31m 30% · <28m 27% · 31m-34m 15% | $17k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $8k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 10% · 420-439 5% · 560-579 1% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shovelingdigging | Yes | $1k |
| Soni-billi | Yes | $358.36 |
| It3 | Yes | $351.75 |
| rago | Yes | $273.26 |
| Antaaa79 | Yes | $246.55 |
| 0x954d… | Yes | $195.61 |
| Hit-man | Yes | $193.98 |
| PINKLODA13 | Yes | $150.30 |
| Mrpitter | Yes | $138.04 |
| Xcvhgsxc | Yes | $127.09 |
| 0x6288… | Yes | $122.09 |
| YourAnimeGirl | Yes | $116.16 |
123 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.9k; the 53 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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