Pop Culture · Movies & TV · live

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢). Volume $11k, liquidity $2.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of # of views of next MrBeast video on day… →

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$11k
Liquidity
$2.3k

Smart money · NoLive on Polynyx · free

all-time P&L of the wallets on No

8 ranked wallets bought No at 99¢. It’s 99¢ now.

Track all 8 wallets ↗

1Hit-manin at 99¢+$42k
2BetterFishin at 89¢+$40k
3productsin at 88¢+$30k
all-time P&L · names, entries and every fill on Polynyx

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

live

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million vie… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No2k76%
Yes64424%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	BUY	No	100¢	$695.94
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	BUY	No	99¢	$683.87
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	BUY	No	99¢	$2k

Movies & TV markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?	260-279 27% · 280-299 26% · 240-259 19%	$211k	$120k
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?	90-114 46% · 65-89 34% · 115-139 15%	$126k	$42k
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?	280-299 14% · 320-339 14% · 300-319 14%	$109k	$100k
Next James Bond actor?	Robert Pattinson 46% · Callum Turner 21% · Jack Lowden 15%	$44k	$59k
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$32k	$52k
Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026?	240-259 14% · 220-239 13% · 280-299 11%	$31k	$237k
"Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office	16m-19m 74% · 19m-22m 23% · <16m 1%	$26k	$16k
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?	35-40M 55% · 40-45M 53% · 30-35M 0%	$22k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 0.9¢spread 0.7¢mid 0.6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1090.2¢

0.9¢41

1.1k0.1¢

1¢100

1.2¢41

1.3¢600

1.9¢500

2¢185

2.7¢100

7.6¢70

8¢65

12¢20

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
0x7500…567f	Yes	4k	5¢	$182.38	$6k
Yoyobinks	Yes	920	1¢	$5.60	−$88.82
WhoIamman	Yes	860	1¢	$7.63	−$182.81
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	706	87¢	$90.58	$126k
FNAI	Yes	500	1¢	$6.00	−$7.60
2B9S	Yes	486	8¢	$19.29	$94k
uiuiuyiiiiyutiyu	Yes	410	1¢	$2.20	−$13k
Ngolobta	Yes	391	0¢	$0.78	−$1.07
Cryptos24x7	Yes	108	14¢	$15.00	−$1k
abdullahsk	Yes	100	1¢	$0.90	$811.12
rw0ajdugzw	No	4k			$0
pleasewinthis	No	2k	99¢	$2k	$985.90

Smart-money conviction · Movies & TV

Smart-money conviction

1Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$25k
2Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$9k
3Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?$7k
4Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$2k
5GTA VI released by November 30?$2k
6Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$1k
7Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$1k
8Will MrBeast's next video get at least 55 million views on day 1?$2k
9Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?$1k
10Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?$1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

10 wallets · 644 known shares

2B9Swhale
entry 8¢ · all-time +$94k · win 55%
Haradwaith
entry — · all-time −$451k · win 51%
triklozoid
entry 0¢ · all-time +$5.7k · win 49%
asdfasd11
entry 2¢ · all-time +$1.5k · win 50%
ddadsf
entry 9¢ · all-time +$604 · win 50%
luciebot
entry 99¢ · all-time +$24k · win 50%

+4 more on Yes, with live entries and fillsPolynyx ↗

No

8 wallets · 2,009 known shares

OnlyPhan
entry 100¢ · all-time +$4.5k · win 67%
BetterFish
entry 89¢ · all-time +$40k · win 68%
Hit-man
entry 99¢ · all-time +$42k · win 52%
cryboy89
entry 87¢ · all-time +$13k · win 57%
big-bird1
entry 100¢ · all-time +$12k · win 50%
products
entry 88¢ · all-time +$30k · win 41%

+2 more on No, with live entries and fillsPolynyx ↗

On Polynyx · free

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FAQ

What are the odds for “Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $11k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?”?: Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Pop culture Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.