Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 98¢). Volume $588, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$588
Liquidity
$1.1k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 43 known shares

merodwhale
entry 98¢ · all-time +$132k · win 37%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $588 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 98¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?

live

Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuat… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes43100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 32% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$113k	$187k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$32k	$34k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$29k	$74k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$26k	$45k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$73k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$15k	$46k
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes 62% · No 38%	$12k	$5k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 54% · Apple 44% · Alphabet 1%	$12k	$310k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	150	$21k
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	150	$1k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	138	$193k
Haradwaith	Yes	78	−$421k
0xf94d12	Yes	50	−$906.69
2B9S	Yes	49	$95k
merod	Yes	43	$132k
Lucerys	Yes	30	$290k
Numitus1994	Yes	20	−$34k
TENETENET	Yes	10	$6k
0xa5ef39	No	739	$0

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
6Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948