No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢). Volume $65k, liquidity $22k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Maduro Prison Time? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $273k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $229k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $221k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $218k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $166k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe5b4a7 | Yes | 1k |
| Pump | Yes | 990 |
| cervlord | Yes | 762 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 588 |
| 0x3a9dad | Yes | 530 |
| carisepatumurah1994 | Yes | 455 |
| haouibao | Yes | 440 |
| Milin-dc | Yes | 300 |
| Rorschach-Kovacs | Yes | 277 |
| eightu | Yes | 270 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 11k |
| ImJustKen | No | 290 |
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