No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢). Volume $31k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $752k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $204k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $194k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | Yes | 1k |
| risk-manager | Yes | 669 |
| 0x3a9dad | Yes | 597 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 591 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 528 |
| haouibao | Yes | 440 |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 342 |
| cervlord | Yes | 316 |
| Milin-dc | Yes | 300 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 297 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 11k |
| predictfish537 | No | 20 |
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